The list of senators:
- Tuberville, Tommy – Alabama
- Sullivan, Dan – Alaska
- Cotton, Tom – Arkansas
- Risch, James E. – Idaho
- Ernst, Joni – Iowa
- Marshall, Roger – Kansas
- McConnell, Mitch – Kentucky
- Cassidy, Bill – Louisiana
- Collins, Susan M. – Maine
- Hyde-Smith, Cindy – Mississippi
- Daines, Steve – Montana
- Ricketts, Pete – Nebraska
- Tillis, Thom – North Carolina
- Mullin, Markwayne – Oklahoma
- Graham, Lindsey – South Carolina
- Rounds, Mike – South Dakota
- Hagerty, Bill – Tennessee
- Cornyn, John – Texas
- Capito, Shelley Moore – West Virginia
- Lummis, Cynthia M. – Wyoming
Comments
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No, I think people are more tribal now and will vote for the same people regardlessÂ
Well McConnell isn’t running again, so he will be unseated. 🙂 But it’s likely he’ll be replaced with another Republican, possibly a MAGA one.
I think in most of these states they would have to really suffer under the tariffs/stock market drop in order to not vote for a Republican. And many of them will NEVER vote for a Dem – they just won’t vote.
No, I think people are far too entrenched. The democrats will just somehow be blamed.
I believe they’ll keep voting for them. They keep voting for them despite the fact that they’ve objectively been proven to be crappier for the economy than Democrats are, so I ain’t holding my breath for them to magically wake up and vote for somebody who actually cares about investment into their economies.
It would depend on which state and who ran against them. Roger Marshall, for instance, could be unseated by the right Democrat (someone like Mark Kelly), especially if there was also an Independent or Libertarian spoiler running in that election.
I think a couple have a chance to be unseated in the primary by someone who is less aligned with Trump—hopefully someone who embodies more traditional Republican values.
I think Maine and North Carolina are the only ones I’d put a smidge of hope on flipping. And Iowa and Nebraska are a half of a smidge.
I’m adding Alaska there too if something happens with Russia that threatens them and Trump won’t do anything.
In 2006 democrats gained five seats and saw Joe Lieberman switch to an independent. In 2008 Democrats gained eight seats.
Some of these were states that were already trending towards Democrats, but some of them are in swing states that remain from the states and some of them were in states that either had particularly bad republican candidates or where the Republican is guaranteed to win in a normal environment but in the case of an extreme blue wave can be won temporarily by a Democrat.
Claire McCaskill won two terms in Missouri as an example. That means for 12 years a seat that normally should be a republican seat was held by us instead. Claire McCaskill was arguably one of the most important Democratic senators as a result.
This is the real reason I oppose Chuck Schumer as the leader in the Senate. It’s not that he decided to go along with the CR. It’s that he’s weak and I do not see him as somebody who can maximize the gains possible in 2026 and 2028 so much of the ability to fix the damage Republicans are doing right now comes down to getting to the point where we have enough senators to get past the filibuster or get rid of the filibuster.
We need to expand the map and that means getting the types of people who can have a chance of winning in a state all the way to an R +10 lean it a good year. We aren’t going to get all of them, but you need candidates that can win in
Missouri, Kansas, South Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, Iowa, Texas, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada. We have some of those states and need to hold them and they need to expand into as many as possible.
Jon Cornyn, Thom Tillis, Joni Ernst, Dan Sullivan, Susan Collins and Roger Marshall should be our targets.
There will be a chance. But a chance means a probability. It does not mean that the incumbent will not win, but just that it could be more competitive.
Ashley Moody is serving out the rest of Rubio’s term in Florida and could be vulnerable if Democrats put up a halfway decent candidate. But that’s a big if.
I want to believe that “It’s the economy, stupid!” will ultimately win out over whatever Republican propaganda/conditioning like “The hurt will be worth it” or “The economy was fake and inflated” or “Trans woke trans trans pedophile groomer woke GOD BLESS AMERICA” they’re pumping out.
I really want to believe. I’m not optimistic, I believe that most Republicans will spend their last dollar voting against Democrats before moving under the overpass, but I so desperately want to believe that there is some legal, electoral way out of this mess that isn’t “Wait and pray that the GOP will implode when Trump dies”
No, Trump still have roughly 50% approval
He could launch the nukes and usher in nuclear Armageddon and the MAGA crowd would still be convinced that he was playing some brilliant, 4D chess, long game.
I do not. I think that the votes for GOP had little to do with the economy and everything to do with culture war issues.
The GOP will blame Democrats, who weren’t in power, and their voters will believe it. Â
Speaking as a Mainer, Susan’s ass is firmly glued to that seat till the bitch is dead.
There chances of getting elected will plummet from 95% to 85%…. s/
Republicans are idiots. I don’t expect them to vote out their Republican incumbents. They might do it just because they’re mad at them for whatever reason when it’s time to vote. But the time after that, they’ll go back to voting for the Republican who promises to do all this again, because it’s what they want.
All? No. Some? Maybe.
The problem is that the information most rightwing voters are getting from rightwing media is so disconnected from reality that they will be able to latch onto some excuse as to why we’re not in an economic crisis or that we are in an economic crisis but it’s not the fault of Trump or the GOP.
Until they are kicked out of their homes and begging for help they won’t change.
Remember, Trump currently crashing the economy is Biden’s fault to them.
Red voters don’t really know how to vote for anything other than a Republican, no matter how bad the consequences. For evidence, look in the white house right now.
No.
Republicans are inherently stupid.
They’re uneducated and they’re taliban-level religious extremists.
They want the entire world to be destroyed. They won’t stop until it is.
https://deadline.com/2023/03/praying-for-armageddon-cph-dox-film-evangelical-influence-on-american-policy-director-tonje-hessen-schei-interview-1235304641/