https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/10/world/middleeast/syria-turkey-israel-talks.html
https://apnews.com/article/israel-turkey-syria-conflict-talks-447f81a8eff6e1bb81b85dca0b7c6034
Quick Context:
Turkey is a NATO ally, meaning there’s a formal defense commitment under Article 5, but that’s only triggered if Turkey is attacked, not if it initiates a conflict.
Israel is not in NATO, but the US-Israel alliance is arguably stronger than many formal treaties. Billions in military aid, intelligence cooperation and deep-rooted political ties define that relationship.
The current flashpoint? Syria. Turkish forces have ramped up cross border operations, while Israel is reportedly targeting Iranian linked groups in the same region. Clashes or miscommunications could spiral quickly.
So the question is: If Turkey and Israel enter open conflict, what should the U.S. response be?
Comments
The following is a copy of the original post to record the post as it was originally written.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/10/world/middleeast/syria-turkey-israel-talks.html
https://apnews.com/article/israel-turkey-syria-conflict-talks-447f81a8eff6e1bb81b85dca0b7c6034
Quick Context:
Turkey is a NATO ally, meaning there’s a formal defense commitment under Article 5, but that’s only triggered if Turkey is attacked, not if it initiates a conflict.
Israel is not in NATO, but the US-Israel alliance is arguably stronger than many formal treaties. Billions in military aid, intelligence cooperation and deep-rooted political ties define that relationship.
The current flashpoint? Syria. Turkish forces have ramped up cross border operations, while Israel is reportedly targeting Iranian linked groups in the same region. Clashes or miscommunications could spiral quickly.
So the question is: If Turkey and Israel enter open conflict, what should the U.S. response be?
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I already answered this on another sub. As a Turkish American yea this shit would hurt.
Both left and right in Turkish society have negative views on Israel and its government. CHP is more unlikely to support a war but sanctions is possible . But as of local elections in 2024 the new Islamic party YRP scared President Erdogan to act, he doesn’t wanna lose his loyal base to another party and willing to cut some trade with Israel but war? Erdogan is a pragmatist, as long as Israel doesn’t step on his foot in Libya or Somalia, he doesn’t care, it’s just PR. The guy admitted Sweden and Finland, sure Erdogan wants stuff in return but he’s always gonna stick near nato, we like playing the middle man throughout history, we fucking love bargaining.
IF we did go to war, yes we have a growing military industrial complex, I’m happy for that regardless cause the US under Trump is nuts but yes we can survive militarily and manpower wise. The issue we have big problems is the economy, just like Russia in 2022, being kicked out swift system, to international trade would hurt us badly, considering we are mainly export nation
We Turks do care about our economic livelihood but a 1998-2000s style crisis would piss many Turks. Would it mean a friendly government towards Israel say if AKP lost? No, CHP doesn’t like them either.
Hard part is predicting Trump, yes he will slap couple sanctions, but what would his closet advisors want? He cares deeply about his image, if it makes him look like a god among evangelicals and a “ crusader” he will most likely do it.
There’s a decent amount of evidence that Erdogan is covertly selling weapons to Israel, he cares about money more than anything- he’s not going to war.
Both countries are hijacked by egomaniacs that lust for power.
The U.S. should remain neutral, avoid taking sides and try to filibuster a war from taking place because the Middle East is very radioactive at the moment….
sell weapons, including WMDs, to both editADD: that is a ‘would’ not a ‘should’